人人草人人-欧美一区二区三区精品-中文字幕91-日韩精品影视-黄色高清网站-国产这里只有精品-玖玖在线资源-bl无遮挡高h动漫-欧美一区2区-亚洲日本成人-杨幂一区二区国产精品-久久伊人婷婷-日本不卡一-日本成人a-一卡二卡在线视频

Spotlight: What could a no-deal Brexit mean?

Source: Xinhua| 2018-11-22 13:46:51|Editor: Shi Yinglun
Video PlayerClose

LONDON, Nov. 21 (Xinhua) -- As talks and negotiations on Brexit continue, teams in both London and Brussels are working behind the scenes on the unthinkable. What will happen if Britain leaves the European Union (EU) on March 29, 2019 without any deal?

Such a "hard departure" cannot be ruled out. Hence both sides need to be prepared for the possible consequences.

Yet, seasoned politicians also lay out a possible scenario when a deal emerges like a rabbit out of a magician's hat at the final seconds.

Under provisional arrangements, nothing would change when Britain ends its EU membership on March 29, 2019, with a 21-month transition period aimed at giving Brussels and London more time to work out a permanent trading relationship.

However, if a no-deal scenario happens, there will be a clean cut from the EU.

NO DEAL MAY MEAN CHAOS

Fears have been raised of massive queues of freight vehicles on both sides of the English Channel, and possible supply shortages of food and goods for Britain.

Major British manufacturers, particularly in the auto business, could face chaos, as they rely on an arrangement known as "just in time," meaning a continuous procession of parts and components from mainland European suppliers being delivered directly to their plants.

Britain would have to operate under the World Trade Organization rules, but this would mean tariffs on goods shipped to EU countries. Shipments could be delayed or rejected if vital paperwork and certifications are not available.

Worries also have surfaced about cross-channel air travel, which runs a risk of jets being grounded.

Also, EU countries would be exporting to Britain as a third-party country.

Although British Prime Minister Theresa May has said there would be no change in the status of the 3 million EU citizens living in Britain, there could be migration implications for both sides. There are also over 1 million British citizens living in EU member states.

A major flashpoint would be the 500-km border between Britain-controlled Northern Ireland and the neighboring Irish Republic. Border posts are likely to return to the area, which will become a physical EU zone border.

The need to create a frictionless border on the island of Ireland has been one of the most difficult issues to be resolved during the Brexit negotiations.

One consolation would be that Britain would no longer have to pay its contribution to the EU, estimated at around 13 billion British pounds (16.7 billion U.S. dollars) a year.

On March 29 next year, Britain would leave the EU and "everything associated with that would come to an end," said Simon Usherwood, a political expert from the University of Surrey, in a recent media interview.

"A no deal doesn't stop the UK from leaving but it means there is absolutely no clarity about what happens ...," Usherwood said.

Anthony Glees, director of the Center for Security and Intelligence Studies at the University of Buckingham, said the grim prospect of a no-deal outcome makes May's Brexit proposal sound sensible.

"I don't think any British government could survive the collapse of sterling, the need to borrow more and practice austerity, stasis at our main ports, mass unemployment of industrial and agrifood workers, decline in services industry, labor shortages in the National Health Service, declining investment and more expensive food from Europe," Glees told Xinhua.

CHOICES AFTER NO DEAL

If members of the parliament vote down May's Brexit plan, leading to a no-deal Brexit, the loss would be 81 billion pounds (105.3 billion dollars) each year for the foreseeable future as predicted by the British government, said Glees.

"There would be massive borrowing and the collapse of sterling," he said.

He cited the viewpoint of Charles Grant, director of the Center for European Reform, saying there are four choices after a no-deal Brexit -- Britain leaving with no deal, the parliament telling May to have another go, the parliament collapsing in further chaos with May forced into a general election, and fourthly, a new public referendum on EU membership.

"I think (the) Labour (Party) would probably win a general election, while a new referendum might, or might not produce a different result," Glees said.

He also predicted that a no-deal departure would mean a hard border in Ireland. "A hard border in Ireland means we return to sectarian violence as surely as night follows day."

"Yet if we do not share the 'common rule book' with the EU, we have different tariffs and non-tariff regulations and we need a hard border for economic reasons. We also need one for political reason because Brexiters are afraid of migration from the EU," he said.

"Northern Ireland would have an open door to EU27 (EU excluding Britain) migrants via Ireland without controls on the long land border," he noted.

Brexit is already having an impact on the fortunes of Britain, he added.

"It is weakening us ... Investment in the UK has already slumped by half in the past year, numerous firms and businesses are relocating into EU27 countries. We will take years to recover from the damage that has already been done," he said.

Glees predicted that if a no-deal Brexit seems likely, the British parliament will step in.

May's government has already produced a string of "just in case" documents spelling out the consequences. This is seen as an insurance policy strategy although May has continually said she is confident of striking a deal with Brussels that respects the 2016 referendum decision of the British people.

TOP STORIES
EDITOR’S CHOICE
MOST VIEWED
EXPLORE XINHUANET
010020070750000000000000011100001376241671
主站蜘蛛池模板: xxxx在线播放 | 91入囗| 免费看黄色aaaaaa 片 | 国产精品欧美一区二区三区 | 国产资源在线观看 | 成年人黄色小视频 | 国产日韩欧美成人 | 先锋影音制服丝袜 | 欧美一级免费在线观看 | 丁香花电影免费播放电影 | aaa久久| 中文字幕一区在线 | 成人国产精品久久 | 丁香色综合 | 久久亚洲精选 | 亚洲欧美激情小说另类 | 对白刺激theporn | 国产福利在线导航 | 国产精一区二区三区 | 色婷婷久久 | 一级片在线 | 你懂的在线观看网站 | 亚洲国产精品网站 | 蜜桃一区二区三区 | 国产精品久久久久久久 | 波多野结衣视频免费 | 欧美日韩在线网站 | 午夜视频 | 精品小视频在线观看 | 在线播放一区 | 日日噜夜夜噜 | 欧美xxxx18| 日韩国产欧美精品 | 交专区videossex非洲 | 黄色网日本 | 添女人荫蒂视频 | 国产精品免费在线 | 黄页网站在线看 | 日韩一级二级三级 | 久草视频福利 | 国产日本视频 | 久久亚洲精少妇毛片午夜无码 | 久久久久久亚洲精品 | 久久福利精品 | 66亚洲一卡2卡新区成片发布 | 性色欲网站人妻丰满中文久久不卡 | 亚洲熟女乱色综合亚洲小说 | 蜜桃导航-精品导航 | 99色国产 | 五月激情丁香 | caobi视频 | 天堂成人在线 | 国产成人超碰人人澡人人澡 | 成人av色 | 欧美另类视频在线 | 国产精品国产三级国产在线观看 | 欧美色图17p| 久久国产网站 | 黄色小视频免费观看 | 成人高清网站 | 午夜精品久久久久久久99黑人 | 男女福利视频 | 久久毛片网 | 色射射 | 色在线视频观看 | 中文字幕乱码中文字幕 | 亚洲第一页综合 | 夜间福利网站 | 无码日本精品xxxxxxxxx | a级欧美| 亚洲欧洲视频 | av无码精品一区二区三区宅噜噜 | 8ppav| 久久亚洲天堂网 | 欧美污视频在线观看 | 亚洲欧美自拍另类 | 久久97视频| 天天摸天天做天天爽 | 嘿咻视频在线观看 | 黄网站在线观看 | 韩国国产在线 | 明星毛片 | 人妻91麻豆一区二区三区 | 国产一区二区在线视频 | 福利视频二区 | 中字幕一区二区三区乱码 | 欧美色图亚洲自拍 | 久久精品国产亚洲av香蕉 | 七七久久 | 亚洲国产色图 | 欧美一区在线视频 | 猎艳山村丰满少妇 | 亚洲精品成人区在线观看 | 91免费视频网 | 9.1在线观看免费 | 亚洲小说区图片区都市 | 四虎音影 | 欧美成人精品一区二区三区在线看 | 国产情侣一区二区三区 |